Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Guaratinguetá beat Guarani with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on June 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 36.7% | 23.5% | −13.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 39.7% | 52.7% | +13.0 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 48.4% | 61.0% | +12.5 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 36.5% | 25.9% | −10.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 33.0% | 43.1% | +10.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 31.2% | 21.2% | −10.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 24.1% | 33.7% | +9.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 21.2% | 30.1% | +8.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 18.6% | 27.5% | +8.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 18.2% | 26.1% | +7.9 |
