Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Goiás with a 22.7% chance and Náutico beat Salgueiro with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 12 (before the first match) against those on June 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Promotion | 28.0% | 46.4% | +18.5 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 28.4% | 15.8% | −12.5 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 24.3% | 36.7% | +12.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 25.0% | 14.6% | −10.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 12.2% | 22.1% | +9.9 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 36.5% | 26.8% | −9.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 31.8% | 22.2% | −9.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 30.3% | 39.7% | +9.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 17.6% | 26.7% | +9.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 9.2% | 18.2% | +9.0 |
