Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio Barueri beat Criciúma with a 22.6% chance, ASA beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 20.5% chance, and São Caetano beat Vitória with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 12 (before the first match) against those on November 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 66.7% | 22.5% | −44.2 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 18.7% | 60.4% | +41.7 |
| Sport | Promotion | 13.6% | 47.8% | +34.2 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 40.1% | 13.8% | −26.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 77.7% | 100% | +22.3 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 39.0% | 18.2% | −20.7 |
| ASA | Relegation | 31.6% | 14.8% | −16.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 1.9% | 13.3% | +11.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 8.0% | 2.2% | −5.7 |
