Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Portuguesa with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 13 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 34.9% | 21.3% | −13.6 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 67.7% | 57.1% | −10.6 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 76.6% | 86.7% | +10.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 42.0% | 51.6% | +9.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 18.8% | 11.0% | −7.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 24.0% | 16.8% | −7.2 |
| ASA | Promotion | 19.3% | 13.5% | −5.8 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 6.7% | 12.4% | +5.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 13.5% | 8.1% | −5.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 17.1% | 22.4% | +5.4 |
