Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat ASA with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 25 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 29.1% | 17.2% | −11.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 26.0% | 35.9% | +9.9 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 50.9% | 41.5% | −9.3 |
| ASA | Promotion | 20.9% | 11.8% | −9.1 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 59.9% | 68.9% | +9.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 21.1% | 12.5% | −8.6 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 61.3% | 69.8% | +8.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 43.0% | 51.3% | +8.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 37.9% | 45.8% | +8.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 19.5% | 11.6% | −7.9 |
