Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 2 draws and 7 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat Sport with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 22 (before the first match) against those on May 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 44.5% | 29.1% | −15.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 28.9% | 43.0% | +14.1 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 48.8% | 61.3% | +12.5 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 39.0% | 51.4% | +12.4 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 32.0% | 44.2% | +12.2 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 31.9% | 20.7% | −11.2 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 32.2% | 43.0% | +10.8 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 18.2% | 8.2% | −10.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 16.2% | 26.0% | +9.8 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 31.0% | 22.0% | −9.0 |
