Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Portuguesa with a 15.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 67.6% | 89.0% | +21.4 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 75.6% | 90.3% | +14.7 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 15.8% | 7.0% | −8.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 92.3% | 84.6% | −7.7 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 26.5% | 19.1% | −7.4 |
| Bahia | Champion | 3.7% | 10.8% | +7.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 38.5% | 31.7% | −6.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 10.5% | 5.8% | −4.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 5.3% | 9.9% | +4.6 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 89.8% | 86.4% | −3.4 |
