Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Ponte Preta with a 21.4% chance and ASA beat América-MG with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Promotion | 20.0% | 38.5% | +18.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 85.0% | 70.3% | −14.7 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 57.2% | 69.7% | +12.4 |
| América-MG | Champion | 14.1% | 3.6% | −10.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 16.5% | 6.6% | −9.9 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 77.5% | 67.6% | −9.9 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 84.7% | 75.6% | −9.0 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 6.9% | 15.8% | +8.9 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 74.7% | 82.5% | +7.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 9.5% | 1.7% | −7.8 |
