Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Portuguesa with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Promotion | 28.5% | 46.6% | +18.0 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 45.7% | 32.1% | −13.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 30.9% | 44.5% | +13.6 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 35.4% | 47.5% | +12.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 24.7% | 34.8% | +10.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 50.4% | 40.8% | −9.6 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 76.7% | 86.0% | +9.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 37.4% | 29.2% | −8.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 49.6% | 43.2% | −6.4 |
| Bahia | Champion | 4.6% | 10.1% | +5.5 |
