Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Duque de Caxias beat Figueirense with a 19.8% chance, Ceará beat Ponte Preta with a 23.5% chance, Brasiliense beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 20.8% chance, and Portuguesa beat Vasco with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 10.3% | 71.8% | +61.5 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 42.5% | 4.5% | −38.0 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 35.3% | 8.0% | −27.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 27.0% | 0% | −27.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 74.7% | 100% | +25.3 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 9.3% | 15.7% | +6.4 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 95.8% | 100% | +4.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 3.7% | 0% | −3.7 |
