Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Ponte Preta with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 29.5% | 3.7% | −25.8 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 17.1% | 42.5% | +25.4 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 24.1% | 9.3% | −14.9 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 12.3% | 27.0% | +14.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 86.6% | 74.7% | −11.9 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 27.2% | 35.3% | +8.0 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 93.2% | 99.0% | +5.7 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 7.6% | 2.9% | −4.7 |
