Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Juventude with a 21.0% chance, Figueirense beat Brasiliense with a 24.7% chance, and Portuguesa beat Guarani with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 56.9% | 27.1% | −29.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 78.7% | 55.8% | −22.9 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 14.4% | 31.5% | +17.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 44.6% | 60.6% | +16.0 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 10.4% | 24.1% | +13.7 |
| Vasco | Champion | 82.7% | 91.5% | +8.8 |
| Guarani | Champion | 13.5% | 5.7% | −7.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 84.5% | 91.6% | +7.1 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 5.5% | 12.4% | +6.9 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 6.5% | 1.0% | −5.6 |
