Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Campinense with a 24.3% chance, Ponte Preta beat Figueirense with a 22.8% chance, Paraná beat São Caetano with a 20.2% chance, and Juventude beat Ipatinga with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Promotion | 35.6% | 14.4% | −21.2 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 64.1% | 44.6% | −19.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 59.7% | 78.7% | +19.0 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 20.0% | 5.5% | −14.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 46.3% | 56.9% | +10.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 20.8% | 10.4% | −10.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 74.9% | 84.5% | +9.6 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 84.7% | 93.9% | +9.1 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 87.8% | 96.4% | +8.7 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 9.3% | 1.8% | −7.5 |
