Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Atlético-GO with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 10 (before the first match) against those on October 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 62.0% | 35.9% | −26.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 72.1% | 53.5% | −18.6 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 43.2% | 53.4% | +10.2 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 68.8% | 78.3% | +9.6 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 8.6% | 15.2% | +6.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 85.5% | 90.3% | +4.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 56.9% | 61.1% | +4.2 |
| ABC | Relegation | 70.5% | 74.3% | +3.8 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 52.1% | 55.7% | +3.5 |
