Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat América-RN with a 16.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 47.1% | 31.0% | −16.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 41.4% | 25.5% | −15.9 |
| Gama | Relegation | 34.8% | 49.4% | +14.7 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 26.1% | 40.6% | +14.5 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 34.5% | 47.4% | +12.9 |
| Corinthians | Promotion | 45.2% | 57.5% | +12.3 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 18.3% | 29.9% | +11.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 33.2% | 22.8% | −10.4 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 11.1% | 21.0% | +9.9 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 23.0% | 13.2% | −9.8 |
