Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Paraná with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 17.9% | 33.2% | +15.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 19.5% | 34.6% | +15.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 19.8% | 34.8% | +15.0 |
| ABC | Relegation | 43.4% | 29.4% | −14.0 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 37.0% | 23.0% | −14.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 32.7% | 21.0% | −11.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 35.4% | 24.0% | −11.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 28.5% | 17.4% | −11.1 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 22.9% | 11.9% | −11.1 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 15.0% | 25.7% | +10.8 |
