Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 23 (before the first match) against those on July 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 49.4% | 63.7% | +14.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 33.7% | 44.1% | +10.4 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 60.7% | 51.0% | −9.7 |
| Marília | Relegation | 30.6% | 21.2% | −9.4 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 14.1% | 23.0% | +8.9 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 19.6% | 26.6% | +7.0 |
| Juventude | Champion | 15.7% | 8.8% | −6.9 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 10.8% | 17.0% | +6.2 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 24.1% | 30.3% | +6.2 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 13.1% | 7.0% | −6.2 |
