Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paulista beat Gama with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista | Relegation | 82.2% | 63.2% | −19.1 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 77.2% | 94.2% | +17.0 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 43.5% | 53.6% | +10.0 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 19.4% | 29.1% | +9.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 12.9% | 4.9% | −8.0 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 63.2% | 70.1% | +6.9 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 30.6% | 37.0% | +6.4 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 8.0% | 1.9% | −6.0 |
| Vitória | Champion | 7.5% | 2.1% | −5.4 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 15.9% | 10.6% | −5.4 |
