Round 12

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on July 10 (before the first match) against those on July 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
MaríliaPromotion52.5%64.6%+12.1
AvaíRelegation42.2%30.1%−12.1
RemoRelegation52.3%41.2%−11.0
VitóriaPromotion28.6%38.6%+10.0
PaulistaRelegation50.9%59.5%+8.6
MaríliaChampion15.0%23.4%+8.4
CriciúmaChampion41.5%33.1%−8.4
FortalezaRelegation21.5%29.8%+8.4
CearáRelegation30.1%37.8%+7.7
CRBPromotion16.8%10.1%−6.7
Home 52.6%
Draw 23.9%
Away 23.5%
Home 46.3%
Draw 26.0%
Away 27.7%
Home 50.4%
Draw 24.6%
Away 25.0%
Home 52.6%
Draw 23.9%
Away 23.5%
Home 51.2%
Draw 24.3%
Away 24.4%
Home 48.9%
Draw 25.1%
Away 26.0%
Home 47.0%
Draw 25.7%
Away 27.2%
Home 53.8%
Draw 23.5%
Away 22.7%
Home 49.8%
Draw 24.8%
Away 25.4%
Home 56.6%
Draw 22.6%
Away 20.8%