Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Paysandu with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 59.0% | 44.7% | −14.4 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 87.4% | 73.4% | −14.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 25.3% | 14.5% | −10.7 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 25.3% | 15.3% | −10.0 |
| Paulista | Promotion | 36.3% | 45.9% | +9.6 |
| Marília | Promotion | 21.8% | 13.2% | −8.5 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 35.2% | 43.5% | +8.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 78.0% | 85.6% | +7.6 |
| Remo | Relegation | 53.8% | 61.2% | +7.4 |
| Sport | Champion | 27.1% | 20.2% | −7.0 |
