Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Remo beat Vila Nova with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Promotion | 20.4% | 37.2% | +16.8 |
| Remo | Relegation | 39.1% | 25.6% | −13.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Promotion | 25.4% | 38.9% | +13.4 |
| Sport | Relegation | 18.9% | 6.9% | −11.9 |
| Gama | Promotion | 25.6% | 14.2% | −11.4 |
| Gama | Relegation | 13.2% | 24.3% | +11.1 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 27.4% | 16.9% | −10.5 |
| CRB | Relegation | 31.7% | 21.3% | −10.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 11.6% | 21.5% | +10.0 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 35.0% | 43.5% | +8.5 |
