Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Avaí with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 13 (before the first match) against those on April 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gama | Relegation | 27.3% | 13.2% | −14.1 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 20.9% | 35.0% | +14.0 |
| Sport | Relegation | 30.6% | 18.9% | −11.7 |
| Gama | Promotion | 14.6% | 25.6% | +10.9 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 22.4% | 13.2% | −9.3 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 18.2% | 9.4% | −8.8 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 29.3% | 37.9% | +8.7 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 31.9% | 40.5% | +8.6 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 19.8% | 28.4% | +8.6 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 23.5% | 15.0% | −8.5 |
