Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Grêmio with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 7 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 57.4% | 39.9% | −17.5 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 23.0% | 38.5% | +15.5 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 34.7% | 48.9% | +14.2 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 64.7% | 50.7% | −14.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 57.7% | 47.5% | −10.2 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 36.8% | 46.8% | +10.0 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 42.5% | 33.1% | −9.5 |
| Mirassol | Relegation | 32.9% | 41.9% | +9.0 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 24.4% | 32.8% | +8.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 53.0% | 61.3% | +8.3 |
