Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mirassol beat Coritiba with a 21.4% chance, Santos beat Internacional with a 24.8% chance, and Chapecoense beat Corinthians with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | Relegation | 51.6% | 32.9% | −18.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 48.3% | 32.3% | −16.1 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 48.8% | 64.7% | +15.9 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 23.3% | 36.8% | +13.5 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 34.7% | +13.2 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 55.7% | 42.5% | −13.2 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 54.0% | 66.1% | +12.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 69.3% | 57.3% | −12.0 |
| Flamengo | Champion | 48.6% | 59.5% | +10.8 |
| Santos | Relegation | 18.9% | 8.8% | −10.1 |
