Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Atletico-MG with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Champion | 53.7% | 81.5% | +27.8 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 59.0% | 32.6% | −26.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 37.8% | 60.9% | +23.1 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 17.8% | 40.6% | +22.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 52.5% | 30.0% | −22.5 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 33.7% | 53.6% | +19.9 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 13.5% | 28.1% | +14.6 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 34.0% | 48.6% | +14.6 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 25.9% | 11.9% | −14.0 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 23.1% | 9.6% | −13.4 |
