Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Avaí with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 69.8% | 26.7% | −43.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 66.6% | 39.3% | −27.3 |
| América-MG | Libertadores | 48.1% | 21.5% | −26.5 |
| Avaí | Libertadores | 41.2% | 17.7% | −23.5 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 27.0% | 50.4% | +23.4 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 7.9% | 31.1% | +23.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 55.7% | 78.8% | +23.1 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 10.8% | 33.1% | +22.3 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 32.4% | 54.6% | +22.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 22.8% | 44.7% | +21.9 |
