Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
FluminenseLibertadores46.1%11.3%−34.8
FlamengoLibertadores59.8%31.6%−28.2
CoritibaRelegation35.6%9.5%−26.1
AvaíRelegation36.5%13.3%−23.2
São PauloLibertadores27.6%47.4%+19.8
Atletico-MGLibertadores80.0%60.6%−19.3
FlamengoSudamericana21.0%37.4%+16.4
FortalezaRelegation55.5%71.7%+16.3
CoritibaLibertadores4.3%20.1%+15.8
Atletico-MGChampion32.6%17.0%−15.6
Home 36.2%
Draw 27.9%
Away 35.8%
Home 31.2%
Draw 26.1%
Away 42.7%
Home 35.9%
Draw 28.0%
Away 36.1%
Home 22.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away 55.1%
Home 41.9%
Draw 26.3%
Away 31.7%
Home 46.6%
Draw 25.1%
Away 28.3%
Home 51.2%
Draw 23.9%
Away 25.0%
Home 31.5%
Draw 26.3%
Away 42.2%
Home 46.0%
Draw 25.2%
Away 28.8%
Home 33.3%
Draw 26.9%
Away 39.8%