Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 46.1% | 11.3% | −34.8 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 59.8% | 31.6% | −28.2 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 35.6% | 9.5% | −26.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 36.5% | 13.3% | −23.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 27.6% | 47.4% | +19.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 80.0% | 60.6% | −19.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 21.0% | 37.4% | +16.4 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 55.5% | 71.7% | +16.3 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 4.3% | 20.1% | +15.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 32.6% | 17.0% | −15.6 |