Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Avaí with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 55.7% | 100% | +44.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 37.6% | 69.4% | +31.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 28.2% | 0% | −28.2 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores Second Round | 7.1% | 34.1% | +27.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 66.4% | 93.4% | +27.0 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 39.0% | 65.6% | +26.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 98.2% | 75.6% | −22.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 47.3% | 69.7% | +22.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 20.0% | 40.9% | +21.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 26.5% | 5.7% | −20.8 |
