Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Fortaleza with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 31.3% | 56.4% | +25.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 41.0% | 62.8% | +21.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 29.9% | 9.2% | −20.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 74.3% | 54.0% | −20.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 56.8% | 38.6% | −18.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 14.0% | 31.6% | +17.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 28.3% | 14.4% | −13.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 36.1% | 50.0% | +13.9 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 8.3% | 20.3% | +12.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 21.4% | 10.5% | −11.0 |
