Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Ceará with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 11 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Relegation | 69.4% | 25.9% | −43.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 44.4% | 17.2% | −27.2 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 11.7% | 36.3% | +24.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 50.2% | 27.6% | −22.5 |
| Ceará | Libertadores | 32.8% | 14.2% | −18.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 42.2% | 59.8% | +17.6 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 28.8% | 46.1% | +17.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 31.6% | 14.7% | −16.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 38.7% | 55.5% | +16.7 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 35.2% | 51.5% | +16.3 |
