Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Athletico-PR with a 22.6% chance and Juventude beat Ceará with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on July 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Relegation | 51.5% | 27.3% | −24.3 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 43.2% | 21.5% | −21.7 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 58.5% | 80.0% | +21.5 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 83.6% | 63.7% | −19.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 38.6% | 57.8% | +19.2 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 19.5% | 38.6% | +19.1 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 17.8% | 36.4% | +18.6 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 23.6% | 42.1% | +18.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 60.1% | 43.1% | −17.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 61.5% | 44.7% | −16.8 |
