Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Athletico-PR with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 4 (before the first match) against those on July 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 42.1% | 64.6% | +22.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 76.6% | 57.1% | −19.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 28.7% | 10.4% | −18.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 46.3% | 64.6% | +18.2 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 30.2% | 12.3% | −18.0 |
| Cuiabá | Relegation | 29.1% | 12.7% | −16.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 33.0% | 16.8% | −16.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 24.8% | 39.5% | +14.6 |
| Santos | Relegation | 21.1% | 6.9% | −14.2 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 32.0% | 18.1% | −13.9 |
