Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 45.3% | 24.3% | −21.0 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 34.0% | 17.9% | −16.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Libertadores | 46.1% | 30.6% | −15.5 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 20.0% | 33.9% | +13.9 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 75.8% | 88.8% | +13.0 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 27.3% | 39.8% | +12.6 |
| Sport | Relegation | 62.4% | 74.7% | +12.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 19.0% | 31.0% | +11.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 69.7% | 57.9% | −11.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 27.0% | 38.5% | +11.5 |
