Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Fortaleza with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 15.2% | 68.3% | +53.1 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 40.7% | 92.9% | +52.3 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 29.3% | 72.2% | +42.9 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 61.2% | 19.1% | −42.0 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 43.1% | 3.9% | −39.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 51.2% | 86.0% | +34.8 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 30.6% | 1.2% | −29.4 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 46.3% | 73.8% | +27.5 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 55.2% | 28.9% | −26.3 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores Second Round | 22.8% | 47.6% | +24.8 |
