Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 2 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 42.2% | 11.7% | −30.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 22.7% | 42.7% | +20.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 31.8% | 48.2% | +16.4 |
| Bahia | Libertadores | 17.1% | 32.4% | +15.3 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 13.3% | 28.3% | +15.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 58.8% | 44.1% | −14.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 32.2% | 46.6% | +14.5 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 28.8% | 43.0% | +14.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 40.3% | 52.8% | +12.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 39.2% | 51.5% | +12.3 |
