Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Athletico-PR with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 67.0% | 28.8% | −38.2 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 38.2% | 14.8% | −23.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 52.9% | 31.6% | −21.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 50.5% | 29.7% | −20.7 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 9.3% | 29.6% | +20.3 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 19.2% | 39.2% | +20.0 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 22.4% | 42.2% | +19.9 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 32.3% | 12.6% | −19.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 25.1% | 43.6% | +18.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 14.4% | 31.8% | +17.4 |
