Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Santos with a 22.2% chance and Ceará beat Bahia with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSA | Relegation | 41.4% | 72.4% | +31.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 23.1% | 52.6% | +29.6 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 47.6% | 19.2% | −28.4 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 41.5% | 16.6% | −24.9 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 13.0% | 33.1% | +20.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 47.9% | 31.1% | −16.8 |
| CSA | Sudamericana | 16.4% | 3.6% | −12.8 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 28.1% | 15.8% | −12.2 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 42.0% | 54.1% | +12.2 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 26.3% | 37.4% | +11.1 |
