Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Grêmio with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 13 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 75.4% | 47.2% | −28.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 65.2% | 42.7% | −22.5 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 29.5% | 51.7% | +22.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 34.6% | 16.1% | −18.6 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 24.4% | 41.5% | +17.1 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 72.3% | 55.6% | −16.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 39.6% | 23.1% | −16.5 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 62.8% | 79.2% | +16.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 8.7% | 23.8% | +15.1 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 61.2% | 47.6% | −13.6 |
