Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Goiás with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 38.5% | 63.1% | +24.6 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 64.2% | 43.6% | −20.6 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 51.3% | 67.2% | +15.9 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 36.5% | 52.2% | +15.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 74.1% | 89.5% | +15.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 74.5% | 59.2% | −15.2 |
| CSA | Relegation | 35.9% | 20.8% | −15.1 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 18.0% | 5.3% | −12.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 10.3% | 22.3% | +12.0 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 48.3% | 59.9% | +11.6 |
