Round 23

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
CSARelegation62.4%35.9%−26.5
SantosLibertadores51.5%74.1%+22.6
BahiaSudamericana32.7%55.1%+22.4
FluminenseSudamericana34.2%54.7%+20.6
São PauloSudamericana61.2%41.3%−19.9
BahiaLibertadores34.4%16.6%−17.8
CSASudamericana8.6%22.7%+14.1
FlamengoChampion60.6%74.6%+14.0
São PauloLibertadores12.8%25.8%+13.0
FluminenseRelegation22.4%10.1%−12.3
Home 39.0%
Draw 27.1%
Away 33.8%
Home 37.9%
Draw 27.5%
Away 34.6%
Home 46.0%
Draw 25.2%
Away 28.8%
Home 35.9%
Draw 28.0%
Away 36.1%
Home 28.9%
Draw 25.3%
Away 45.9%
Home 17.3%
Draw 21.3%
Away 61.4%
Home 24.9%
Draw 23.9%
Away 51.2%
Home 21.7%
Draw 22.7%
Away 55.6%
Home 54.9%
Draw 22.9%
Away 22.2%
Home 37.8%
Draw 27.5%
Away 34.7%