Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Chapecoense with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 10 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 56.7% | 28.8% | −28.0 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 29.2% | 51.1% | +21.9 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 21.9% | 43.4% | +21.5 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 20.8% | 42.0% | +21.2 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 34.5% | 15.8% | −18.7 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 9.2% | 27.2% | +18.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 34.5% | 17.0% | −17.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 77.3% | 92.3% | +14.9 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 54.7% | 40.1% | −14.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 70.3% | 55.8% | −14.5 |
