Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Internacional with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 0.4% | 100% | +99.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 79.6% | 0% | −79.6 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 24.2% | 74.8% | +50.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 51.6% | 97.3% | +45.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 44.3% | 2.7% | −41.6 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 38.8% | 73.2% | +34.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 17.0% | 46.8% | +29.7 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 31.4% | 4.6% | −26.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 72.4% | 48.1% | −24.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 87.5% | 64.4% | −23.1 |
