Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Fluminense with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 26 (before the first match) against those on July 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 79.2% | 50.7% | −28.6 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 80.1% | 55.6% | −24.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 39.8% | 56.7% | +16.9 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 26.9% | 10.0% | −16.8 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 30.4% | 47.2% | +16.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 53.0% | 68.1% | +15.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 18.0% | 32.7% | +14.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 26.3% | 12.6% | −13.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 4.5% | 17.8% | +13.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 34.1% | 21.1% | −13.0 |
