Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Internacional with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 23 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 76.8% | 5.5% | −71.4 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 33.5% | 90.4% | +56.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 18.7% | 73.7% | +55.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 5.5% | 56.8% | +51.4 |
| América-MG | Relegation | 54.7% | 9.1% | −45.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 44.5% | 7.2% | −37.4 |
| América-MG | Sudamericana | 15.0% | 51.3% | +36.3 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 39.0% | 5.1% | −33.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 28.9% | 59.3% | +30.4 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 27.2% | 1.2% | −26.0 |
