Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Atletico-MG with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 12 (before the first match) against those on June 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 81.4% | 32.5% | −49.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 77.6% | 29.5% | −48.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 3.8% | 30.2% | +26.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Sudamericana | 5.4% | 31.4% | +26.0 |
| Chapecoense | Libertadores | 20.8% | 43.4% | +22.7 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 59.6% | 80.8% | +21.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 12.5% | 32.2% | +19.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 30.7% | 50.4% | +19.7 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 13.0% | 31.2% | +18.2 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 9.7% | 26.4% | +16.6 |
