Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Atletico-MG with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 9 (before the first match) against those on June 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 90.9% | 44.7% | −46.2 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 38.1% | 9.7% | −28.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 51.0% | 77.6% | +26.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 58.4% | 81.4% | +23.0 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 22.8% | 43.0% | +20.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 12.2% | 30.7% | +18.5 |
| Chapecoense | Libertadores | 38.7% | 20.8% | −18.0 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 1.1% | 19.0% | +17.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 40.7% | 23.7% | −17.0 |
| Sport | Relegation | 9.4% | 25.8% | +16.4 |
