Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat São Paulo with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Relegation | 51.7% | 20.2% | −31.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 81.0% | 55.9% | −25.1 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 16.7% | 39.7% | +23.0 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 37.1% | 18.8% | −18.2 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 40.7% | 57.1% | +16.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 67.0% | 82.4% | +15.4 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 18.9% | 32.9% | +14.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 59.4% | 72.2% | +12.7 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 33.2% | 45.8% | +12.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores Second Round | 9.9% | 22.2% | +12.3 |
