Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Chapecoense with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 24 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 82.1% | 34.1% | −48.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 42.7% | 3.3% | −39.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 22.6% | 57.8% | +35.2 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 43.3% | 12.2% | −31.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 37.4% | 7.7% | −29.7 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 7.9% | 34.0% | +26.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 19.7% | 45.4% | +25.7 |
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 23.8% | 48.2% | +24.5 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 3.3% | 26.8% | +23.5 |
| Avaí | Sudamericana | 34.3% | 12.9% | −21.4 |
