Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 26 (before the first match) against those on July 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 63.6% | 44.1% | −19.5 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 36.1% | 52.4% | +16.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 39.8% | 54.7% | +14.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 27.0% | 13.7% | −13.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 15.0% | 27.2% | +12.2 |
| Sport | Libertadores | 8.1% | 19.4% | +11.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 17.4% | 6.5% | −10.9 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 18.6% | 29.5% | +10.9 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 54.7% | 65.5% | +10.9 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 16.0% | 5.7% | −10.3 |
