Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Santos with a 21.5% chance and Avaí beat Botafogo with a 14.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 23 (before the first match) against those on June 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 77.5% | 47.3% | −30.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 39.1% | 17.4% | −21.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 46.3% | 25.0% | −21.3 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 33.2% | 52.5% | +19.3 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 34.1% | 16.0% | −18.1 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 37.3% | 54.7% | +17.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 34.0% | 17.2% | −16.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 34.2% | 51.0% | +16.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 80.1% | 63.6% | −16.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 23.9% | 39.8% | +16.0 |
